Author's note: In November 2016, I couldn’t see how Trump could get elected, given the changing demographics of the nation and the electoral college map and the polls right before the election. During most of my time at the NC Center for Public Policy Research, I was asked to do a fair amount of election analysis by the media and usually got predictions right. So, when Trump got elected, I decided to go back and analyze why, using voting data and exit polls about why people said they voted for him. Here is the result. It is not designed to praise or criticize Trump or Clinton but to see how this happened. - Ran Coble

About the author

Ran Coble 400x447

Ran Coble is President Emeritus of the N.C. Center for Public Policy Research.

A native of Graham, North Carolina, Ran Coble graduated in 1971 from Davidson College.  He also earned a master’s degree in public policy from Duke and a …

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